Hey!Ā Iām @yourboymilt, and welcome to retailās Sunday Paper.
I should probably let you know...This is not financial advice!Ā We are here to entertain while giving you ideas, perspective, and angles. Do your own research, I prithee. And if you arenāt subscribed, join us here:
Creator/Editor:@YourBoyMiltĀ Ā The Architect: š§ Ā Ā Publishing Associate:@YourGirlRachie
Pt. 1: Weekās Thoughts, Pt. 2: Watchlist (Unusual Whales, Kalshi, SpotRAMBO), Pt. 3: Index Forecasts (@daarkmaagician )
Editorial Board: @jimengland & @jameoneill
Pt. 1:Ā š»š»š»Whatās going on this week?š»š»š»
Weāve got three big events in play that are threatening to tank the market in substantial ways:
The Fedās FOMC Meeting and subsequent press conference
OPEX on Friday
Milt finally bought SPY calls (always a reliable indicator of the top).
1. The FED FOMC Meeting
Ever since Jerome found out he wasnāt getting canned, heās been spitting hot bearishness every chance he gets.Ā Expect this FOMC to be no different, with a whole bunch of naughty words and phrases like ātaperā, ārate hikeā, and āSELL IT ALLā firmly in play.Ā The meeting lasts for two days, and the big show is Jerome speaking to the press at 11 am PST on Wednesday.
In the coming week, the Federal Reserve could decide to speed up the end of its bond-buying program and signal that it expects to start hiking interest rates in 2022.
2. Quadruple WitchingĀ (Options Expirations)
Expect high volume for options contracts and a bumpy ride this week as four different sets of options contracts expire on Friday.Ā Previously, this has been thought to be pandemonium, but itās simmered down lately.Ā Will the Santa Rally destroy the witching?Ā Is all the bearishness just pointless bitching?
Tune in this week on āAs The YOLO Turns!ā to find out!
Friday is āQuadruple Witching Dayā. That is the simultaneous expiration of stock index futures, single stock futures, stock index options and stock options. This tends to increase trading volumes and possibly volatility as investors offset existing trades that are profitable. Historically speaking, stock markets tend to be rather quiet. But, exhausted demand for equities in the weeks after could bode ill for sentiment.
Welcome to Mini YEET no. 31.5 , brought to you by hedges.
š Pt. 2: The Watchlist Picks
Made possible with help from the @unusualwhales Alerts and Flow Tool (Sign up here!), and Events Trading with the YEETās Partner Kalshi.
š Kalshi Competition starts TODAY
š„Weāre running a competition yāall!š„
Each of the next two weeks, The YEET is paying the 5 users who make the most money on Kalshi legit cash prizes.Ā All you have to do is send a screenshot of your account load, moves made, and current account balance to spotrambotrades@gmail.com by next Saturday, and the following Sunday (day after Christmas) by midnight PST.Ā The first week of competition begins TODAY with The YEETās publication.
Competition Rules and Payout:Ā
Must have your screenshots in to spotrambotrades@gmail.com by midnight PST Saturday December 18th for the week 1 competition, and Sunday December 26th for week 2.
1st place - $250
2nd place - $125
3rd place - $50
4th place - $25
5th place - $25
šÆRAMBO to Watch
Events Catalysts listed daily at The YEETās websiteāspotrambo.com
RAMBOs are investor Relations And Meeting Buy Opportunities, or in other words stock catalysts outside of earnings (such as Investor Days, Analyst Days, Product Launches, Conferences, and more!).Ā Ā
Last week we chose QCOM Investor Day; howād it go?Ā QCOM ran 6% that day after the event!
šÆRAMBO to Watch:
š Whale WatchList: ROKU, TSLA, SPWR, XOM, MSFT
1. ROKU Calls > 232.77 // Puts < 226.4
š ROKU: Flow Chart 10k+ Premium 57% š
āļøROKU: Expirations and Strike
āļøExp: LEAPsšĀ
šØStrikes: 490, 500š
š ROKU: Chart
š« The ROKU Trigger: Calls > 232.77 // Puts < 226.4
2. TSLA Calls > 1022
š TSLA: Flow Chart 100,000+ Premium: $TSLA
āļøTSLA: Expirations and Strike
āļøExp: 12/17, 2/228šĀ
šØStrikes: 600, 1000š
š TSLA: Chart
š« The TSLA Trigger: Calls > 232.77Ā
3. SPWR
SPWR Unusual Flow (Top 5 active contracts on Friday)
š SPWR: Chart
š« The SPWR Trigger: Calls >23.57 // Puts < 22.97
4. XOM
š XOM: Flow Chart Flow 1K+ Premium
š XOM: Chart
š« The XOM Trigger: Calls > 63.46Ā // Puts < 59.67
5. MSFT MIND BLOWING READ by @CASHWITHDARA
Triangle breakout on the daily
Rsi bouncing up and still has room to run before it hits the beginning of oversold
MACD about to cross for the better
Higher than average volume
MSFT is a cash heavy company ($138.58b) so even in tumultuous times, this will be more fine than other stocks
MSFT is one of two stocks that have a AAA bond rating (highest) so this also signifies safety [the other is JNJ]
Flagging and coiling up on the 30 minutes
Watch for 343 break
People are ASKING for CALLS
Bullish green like St. Patrickās Day in Ireland
Deviation between calls and puts for Friday, call volume substantially higher with a much steeper slope
Inflection point to be noted in between Thursday and Friday. Concavity switches from down to up.
Best put to call since Nov 4th
Call volume higher than surrounding dates
Biggest options trades by far bullish
Note* they are far out expiration wise, but these are also huge trades
Price with darkpool shows a trampoline upwards
All news is analyst upgrades (tend to influence short term price appreciation)
MSFT settled a court caseĀ
Highest OI chains are calls with some puts but those are all leaps
Pt. 3: Weather: SPY & QQQ Forecast by @daarkmaagician š¦
Below is the chart & info for a SPY & QQQ forecast from @daarkmaagician, his DISCORD is the place to be (YEETers get two weeks free!).Ā
SPY/QQQ Charts Legend:
Solid Blue= ATH, Green= Dark Pool Buys, Red= Dark Pool Sells, Purple= Dark Pools, Orange= Supports/Resistances, Teal= 9ema
SPY Forecast:
SPY Charts:
QQQ Forecast:
QQQ Charts:
Make sure you follow @daarkmaagician to get updates on the indexes daily!
Goodbye and thanks for reading! Questions, scoops, comments @yourboymilt or /u/alldatdalton. See you next week!Ā ā