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🚨Emergency Broadcast pt. 2: Whales of War (wide release)

🚨Emergency Broadcast pt. 2: Whales of War (wide release)

How the whales Friday are being proven right, and what we found today

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Your Boy Milt
Jun 17, 2025
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The YEET
The YEET
🚨Emergency Broadcast pt. 2: Whales of War (wide release)
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📉 THE FALL-OFF Pt. 2: Whales of War

A YEET Emergency Bulletin
PS Milt’s Magical Challenge for YEET Plus: Day 3 — Account up +80%


War tensions. FOMC looming. Whale positioning shifting.
Markets are quiet—but the data is screaming.

We’re up +80% in just three days of the Milt’s Magical Challenge, and we’re not easing up.
Our SPY puts are still in play overnight, and the filters have one message:

🛑 Risk-off is here.


🔮 FILTER STATUS CHECK

🧠 SPY MAGIC

Clean contract clusters across 3–10 DTE. High success rate on near-money setups.


🦄 SPY UNICORN

Directional confirmation algorithm. Confirms the macro intent of flow clusters.


🚀 SPY MAGIC: BALLISTIC (NOW LIVE for PLUS, preview here, plus full contracts below)

Our newest variation—designed for wartime markets and inflection points.

  • Filters for aggressive premium clusters + timing around CPI/FOMC/geopolitical

  • Triggered hard on 6/13 and again today.

  • Every put we’re holding was flagged by Ballistic or confirmed by Unicorn


📊 WARI IS FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS

🧠 WARI (Whale Action Risk Index): 82/100 — Flashing RED

Let’s walk through why.

🔻 PUT CLUSTERS STACKED BELOW CURRENT SPOT THIS PAST MONTH

  • Repeated hits on 600P, 597P, 595P, 585P, and even 582P

  • These aren’t just hedges. These are directional conviction plays by size players

  • Large contracts at $500K–$1.2M premium, often across multiple DTEs


⏱️ SHORT-DATE CONVICTION

  • 1–3 DTE plays dominating the feed

  • High percentage of 100% ask-side premium fills

  • Tagged with “Repeated Hits” + “Ascending Fill” = institutional aggression


🌐 OVERLAY: GLOBAL RISK + MACRO HESITATION

We’re not only seeing this behavior during U.S. hours. A clear pattern is forming:

  • Overnight and premarket whale activity is increasing, often ahead of Middle East headlines

  • Positioning is aligned around potential Sunday futures gaps, a known tactic during global risk


💡 VOLATILITY & IV PRESSURE

  • IV is rising into rallies for many of these puts—a classically bearish signal

  • Traders are paying a premium to stay exposed before Powell even talks


📉 FOMC MACRO DATA UPDATE (June 11 CPI)

  • Headline CPI (YoY): +2.4%, up from April’s +2.3% bls.gov

  • Core CPI (YoY): +2.8%, steady from April; matched consensus

  • Monthly CPI (May): +0.1%, down from April’s +0.2% reuters.com+5bls.gov+5jpmorgan.com+5


🔍 FED IMPLICATIONS

  1. **Headline Inflation Moderate**
    ‒ Up 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY—neither shockingly high nor low.
    ‒ Suggests stable but non-threatening price pressures.

  2. Core Inflation Still Sticky
    ‒ At 2.8% YoY, it remains well above the Fed’s 2% target, and unchanged from April
    ‒ Keeps the door open for continued policy restraint.

  3. Fed Rate-Cut Outlook Softens
    ‒ Markets now price in no cut at June’s FOMC, and possibly one quarter-point cut by September, instead of earlier
    ‒ Combined with geopolitical risk, this is reinforcing our risk‑off stance.


🧨 WAR? FOMC? BOTH?

Could this be war hedging?

Very likely. Headlines are dropping overnight, especially:

  • Israeli intel leaks

  • Iran escalation rumors

  • Oil spiking and softening in sync with global headline timing

But equally likely is that whales are:

Using the cover of geopolitical chaos to front-run a macro-driven flush.

🚨YEET PLUS: FULL CONTRACTS FROM BALLISTIC

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