👔 YEET 2.8(?): Quant Toys, Triple Bagger Trade Reviews, and Flow Strategy
Guest intro from MacroEdge, flows, charts, and Sunday PLUS Edition!
Welcome to The Yeet, a weekly DD where we try to tilt the casino...
Hey! I’m @yourboymilt, and welcome to retail’s Sunday Paper.
I should probably let you know...This is not financial advice! We are here to entertain while giving you ideas, perspective, and angles. Do your own research, I prithee. And if you aren’t subscribed, join us here:
Pt. 1: Macro Edge piece, Pt. 2: SPY, Pt. 3: Flow
🚨Editor’s Note: The portion after the intro is going to be video and tutorial heavy
-SPY YEET+ Twitter page callouts are currently 90% wins since resuming 2 weeks ago—I will be breaking down the components of that strategy daily
-Flow plays: I did some research on past strats I used when I realized we were entering a topping, choppy market. Current flow strats are out the window in this market, luckily I’ve had to trade flow in this before. I’ll provide videos like tonight’s explaining our signature plays as we pick them—YOLOs will remain the same and daily if any are worthwhile.
🌎 Pt. 1: MACROYEET: Shiny New Quant Toys Warrant Caution
Contributor: Don Miami of Macro Edge
Happy Sunday YEET Readers -
I wanted to share some of our new MacroEdge toys and models that our research desk has been developing over the past week. I think many of them will interest you all and should be bookmarked for future reference.
As YEET Readers you can get MacroEdge through a special link set up for Milt and you all at:
Where you get access to our institutional research desk, equity research service, data dashboard, and more.
Here’s an overview of the 19 drawdowns seen since the dataset began for our new long-term bullishness gauge which uses a weighted average and 3-month moving average to track overall market sentiment across time. While the indicator struggled during the 90s to capture the bull run then - of late, for the last 5 instances a time of ‘euphoria’ has been seen -
While investors may remain euphoric for long periods (ie: prior to the Dotcom bust as well as in late 2004) - our more recent time frame paints an interesting picture of where sentiment currently stands. People are quite bullish and optimistic about the market, rather than the other way around (and contrary to what many permabulls seem to think at the current time). While we will take all of these indicators with pause and deliberation, all three of them are starting to paint a clearer picture of what might lie ahead for a larger correction or drawdown in the quarters to come:
Our new Full Market View Bullishness Gauge with data back to 1987:
Shorter Term Horizon Bullishness Gauge (Same as Above):
Our Shorter Term 4W MA Bullish Sentiment Gauge:
Our new Bliss/Panic Index based on the Citigroup Panic/Fear Gauge, utilizing a lag to smooth noise in the data:
More information about each gauge can be found in the Vision Equity Research dashboard which highlights an in-depth description for each with notes on statistical accuracy, signals, and more. All of these new ‘quant toys’ as we are calling them will empower all of our readers with greater clarity into current market sentiments and help us on the economics side of the equation associate potential economic risks that may be aligned with potential corrections or downturns that may expand beyond the scope of the financial markets (ie: in the real economy).
See you all soon and keep an eye on evolving market sentiments in the weeks to come…!
Don
🕵️ Pt. 2: SPY Flow, Levels, and Analysis
🕵️SPY 322% Trade Review (and some tips also from the 160% Trade as well): Play entries and exits alerted—and weekly plan provided—on YEET+ Twitter Account
🕵️SPY Flow
🕵️SPY Levels
Upside Levels: 510.06, 510.72 512.72, 51442, 516.68, 519.44
Downside Levels: 508.54, 506.86, 505.75, 503.04, 501.9
💡 YEET Plus Lineup:
PA Video: SPY Weekly Prep and Plan
PA Video: How to play consolidation zones (follow-up to Friday tutorial tweets)
Flow Video Analysis and Tutorial: Signature Flow Play
Flow Analysis: Signature flow play contracts and important screenshots, prime entry, contract choice
Week’s Plan
Educational: Playing Consolidation Zones
🌊 Pt. 2: Flow-Action Section: Flow Plays With Chart Plans So You Don’t get Bagged
Made possible with help from the @unusualwhales Alerts and Flow Tool.Sign up here!
💡MU: Flow is on 31c and 32c 4/26 // 148k in Premium
Here is a full video breakdown:
Very early in the session a whale placed a 64k BTO order on MU 132c 4/26
When the market took a turn for the worst, a whale (probably the same one) went with 48k on the 131c 4/16—a little closer to the money, same expiry.
🚀YEET Prime Entry: 118 (I can live with 119 if the market has hit a bounce spot)
👍YEET Official Call™: 23c 4/26 (subject to change, will alert in the callout)
✌🏿TLDR & Goodbye
Part 1: Macro Analysis
Part 2: SPY outlook and lessons
Part 3: Flow
A play you took didn’t pan out? There are no refunds for The YEET unfortunately, but please direct losses to our Head of YEET Discord HR—that’s Haters Received—DTJ1948, and he’ll ensure we hear about it.
When you are making plays like this or making calls for your membership do you use options on the spy or some other vehicle? Do you include stops? If using options are they basic long puts and calls for a weekly expiration? Appreciate any feedback. Thank you.
Great read